Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2474.156943 2672.290735 2871.603723 3086.825986 3312.354132 3541.392838 3791.275028
2025-07-27 2145.688352 2443.296239 2752.638036 3096.987638 3468.412917 3855.848079 4289.397941
2025-08-03 1921.585981 2278.707803 2659.205781 3092.327873 3569.259371 4076.111587 4653.173293
2025-08-10 1762.557189 2164.053591 2600.875285 3107.378026 3674.527695 4286.261167 4992.202162
2025-08-17 1613.066272 2045.908705 2526.027541 3092.126385 3735.525117 4438.578092 5259.428055
2025-08-24 1510.796452 1972.801310 2494.129636 3117.843356 3835.844511 4629.091839 5564.333550
2025-08-31 1395.829344 1876.815216 2428.904830 3098.917242 3879.794779 4751.603080 5788.981139
2025-09-07 1332.640819 1837.688226 2425.918119 3148.423934 3999.166357 4957.202073 6105.771504
2025-09-14 1255.809659 1777.204625 2393.555762 3159.786446 4071.240295 5106.371151 6356.469246
2025-09-21 1179.081257 1712.468995 2352.351704 3157.277950 4124.230141 5231.333490 6577.667172
2025-09-28 1076.278506 1609.725957 2260.334009 3089.491217 4096.311002 5259.212988 6683.971974
2025-10-05 1061.836872 1618.699491 2305.128494 3187.223092 4265.594760 5517.980789 7059.476427
2025-10-12 1022.131336 1593.821801 2307.415103 3233.324805 4374.146210 5707.412729 7357.132102
2025-10-19 968.761324 1548.499288 2282.058059 3243.803666 4438.673333 5844.399338 7593.419269
2025-10-26 912.665728 1496.708426 2246.106332 3239.000268 4482.898535 5955.996320 7798.887608
2025-11-02 869.075659 1459.734647 2227.482611 3254.514049 4550.936650 6095.375957 8036.981425
2025-11-09 815.750055 1406.717550 2185.776546 3238.792568 4578.781499 6185.196785 8215.142527
2025-11-16 782.468877 1380.239269 2177.806923 3265.301311 4658.528176 6337.513294 8468.202274
2025-11-23 733.852366 1329.533071 2135.578850 3245.792723 4679.161679 6416.824382 8632.621280
2025-11-30 714.128150 1319.761965 2147.831227 3296.820457 4788.575618 6604.774320 8928.717249
2025-12-07 681.545872 1289.499322 2130.938559 3308.530895 4847.327679 6730.022242 9148.562857
2025-12-14 645.903518 1252.990945 2104.108400 3305.945625 4886.955698 6831.094379 9338.664619
2025-12-21 590.101298 1183.074455 2028.476115 3236.076139 4838.277525 6821.131386 9391.680483